The hype train for the 2022 NFL season not only leaves the station, but it slams off the tracks, plunges into the stratosphere, and begins singing a collection of Tupac’s best hits.
People are going crazy with some of these predictions! I mean who is on their mind choose Lions and Jets to make it to the knockout round? Illusion, I tell you!
But nothing presents an illusion for many NFL fans despite quite liking the MVP betting trend.
After watching Aaron Rodgers win consecutive MVP awards and seeing Patrick Mahomes beaming on our flat screen every Sunday (or Thursday or Monday), and peeking at Josh Allen and Justin Herbert taking the steps. With a spectacular jump towards the superstar, you’d think NFL fans would jump at the chance to bet on one of them to win an MVP award next season. No! Not even close.
Based on OddsChecker US, who gets the most bets for the NFL MVP in 2022 isn’t even in the top 10 in terms of odds. Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts has received 25.9% of all bets on NFL MVP over the past 30 days. He has odds of +4000 – or 40 to 1 – taking home hardware. The bet is almost double that of the next closest competitor, Joe Burrow of Cincinnati.
Who do you think is third on this list? I guarantee you can’t guess. Can you guess Matt Ryan? Nonsense. There’s no chance you’ve called that. He got 11.1 percent of the vote at +8000 odds. However, the appearances of both Hurts’ and Ryan on this list pale in comparison to who is getting the fourth most votes for MVP… Trey Lance of San Francisco! HUH?! He is getting 7.4% of the total bet. That’s more than Rodgers and Mahomes combined, and as much as Allen and Herbert combined (both on 3.7% stakes right now)!
I know the boy is very talented and Kyle Shanahan traded his first three picks for him, so they have to put a lot of faith in him, but NFL MVP? Sure, Patrick Mahomes took home the award a year after trailing Alex Smith, but that’s an anomaly. We can’t expect Lance to experience the same kind of success, can we? That’s a tall order for anyone no matter how talented, and while second-year QBs tend to exceed expectations, only two have won MVPs after starting less than five games in the season. their rookies – Mahomes and Kurt Warner. Are we really ready to take Lance to that level after completing only 57.7% of his passes last year, while Jimmy Garoppolo is still on the 49ers’ roster? I’m not ready for that. Props to everyone who has the guts to make such calls, but not me.
Lance got a lot of bets in May, after opening the odds 200 to 1 to win the MVP, Caesars Sportsbook reduced his odds to 60 to 1, but people continued to bet into this man. ! Stop! Vegas is literally just taking money from you at this point. They didn’t trade the odds because they watched Lance’s tape and thought, “You know what? He has that dawg in him! ” They only do this because too many people are putting money on him, by reducing his odds to 60 to 1 people will tend to put more money on him because of the 60 eat 1 has almost no payout similar to 200 eat 1.
I both love long shots when it comes to betting. I’ve been known to bet on crazy eight-game parlays just for the hell of a thing, so if you put part of the change on Lance at 200 to 1, I respect that. Go to break or not go at all, am I right? However, even with these falling odds, Lance still sees money pouring in from everywhere, while respected veterans like former MVP Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott and Matthew Stafford are nowhere to be seen. Any affection from the bettors. Each of them has a 10 to 1 payout and we know for a fact that they will be the starters for their team Week 1. I know the assumption is Garoppolo will be leaving at the start of the season, but until that day comes, and until the full situation of Deebo Samuel is found out, declaring Lance as next year’s MVP seems a bit far-fetched.